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Red65
241211.9
491124.7
59416.1
Blue61
417312.9
49218.6
177815.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30480204060801006561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.73.4
16.419.9
Auto8.2
Teleop8.0
End8.5
red by 6.1
492
#21
18.61.6
18.019.6
Auto5.5
Teleop9.7
End3.4
Second
2412
#11
11.93.4
3.97.3
Auto2.8
Teleop5.9
End3.2
blue by 3.8
1778
#13
15.81.6
14.516.0
Auto3.5
Teleop9.9
End2.3
Third
5941
#27
6.13.4
9.913.3
Auto2.7
Teleop2.2
End1.3
blue by 6.8
4173
#24
12.91.6
10.311.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsEarned19%Hangar oddsMissed