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Red41
824810.6
49218.6
491124.7
Blue44
635010.7
408933.6
241211.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5145204060804144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.7
19.919.1
Auto8.2
Teleop8.0
End8.5
blue by 8.9
33.60.4
25.825.5
Auto9.7
Teleop17.4
End6.5
Second
492
#21
18.60.7
19.618.8
Auto5.5
Teleop9.7
End3.4
red by 6.7
2412
#11
11.90.4
7.37.0
Auto2.8
Teleop5.9
End3.2
Third
8248
#14
10.60.7
8.17.4
Auto3.0
Teleop3.5
End4.1
blue by 0.1
6350
#15
10.70.4
10.19.7
Auto2.3
Teleop3.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsEarned