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Red32
80513.7
252221.7
32195.7
Blue12
451215.0
59416.1
42056.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284002060803212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.5
17.217.7
Auto8.7
Teleop9.3
End3.7
red by 6.7
15.02.6
10.37.7
Auto1.6
Teleop6.5
End6.9
Second
3219
#30
5.70.5
1.01.5
Auto3.4
Teleop2.8
End-0.5
blue by 0.8
4205
#32
6.42.6
12.19.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.0
End1.8
Third
8051
#18
3.70.5
9.49.8
Auto1.3
Teleop1.3
End1.1
blue by 2.4
5941
#27
6.12.6
13.310.7
Auto2.7
Teleop2.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsMissed