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Red63
451215.0
491124.7
408933.6
Blue15
59416.1
417312.9
29034.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6121040801006315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.60.7
25.526.2
Auto9.7
Teleop17.4
End6.5
red by 20.7
4173
#24
12.91.1
12.111.0
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End3.9
Second
24.70.7
19.119.9
Auto8.2
Teleop8.0
End8.5
red by 18.6
5941
#27
6.11.1
10.79.6
Auto2.7
Teleop2.2
End1.3
Third
15.00.7
7.78.4
Auto1.6
Teleop6.5
End6.9
red by 10.5
2903
#23
4.51.1
2.11.0
Auto2.7
Teleop1.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsEarned12%Hangar oddsMissed