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Red39
42056.4
55886.7
293023.0
Blue55
413112.3
746125.7
824810.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37401020305060703955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.4
17.718.1
Auto2.4
Teleop10.3
End10.2
blue by 2.7
25.71.8
17.118.9
Auto7.9
Teleop14.1
End3.7
Second
5588
#29
6.70.4
7.47.8
Auto1.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9
blue by 5.6
4131
#25
12.31.8
9.911.7
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End0.2
Third
4205
#32DQ
6.40.4
10.210.6
Auto2.7
Teleop2.0
End1.8
blue by 4.1
8248
#14
10.61.8
10.512.3
Auto3.0
Teleop3.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsEarned26%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed