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Red36
32195.7
418011.0
307014.3
Blue65
366318.1
29034.5
241211.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22300104050603665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3070
#16
14.31.5
12.013.5
Auto5.3
Teleop6.1
End2.9
blue by 3.8
3663
#19
18.13.1
18.221.3
Auto5.0
Teleop11.3
End1.8
Second
4180
#26
11.01.4
5.56.9
Auto5.3
Teleop4.5
End1.1
blue by 1.0
2412
#11
11.92.9
7.210.1
Auto2.8
Teleop5.9
End3.2
Third
3219
#30
5.71.4
4.15.5
Auto3.4
Teleop2.8
End-0.5
red by 1.1
2903
#23
4.52.9
1.94.8
Auto2.7
Teleop1.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed