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Red21
29034.5
413112.3
582713.1
Blue73
189915.9
291046.5
417312.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244704060802173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.10.5
10.29.7
Auto3.6
Teleop7.8
End1.8
blue by 33.4
46.53.5
22.125.6
Auto14.8
Teleop23.8
End7.9
Second
4131
#25
12.30.5
10.09.5
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End0.2
blue by 3.6
15.93.5
9.413.0
Auto6.1
Teleop6.3
End3.5
Third
2903
#23
4.50.5
5.24.7
Auto2.7
Teleop1.7
End0.1
blue by 8.4
4173
#24
12.93.5
9.813.3
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsEarned