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Red199
366328.7
408941.3
85325.5
Blue39
99880.0
99860.0
99900.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83905010015019939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.32.9
39.141.9
Auto11.8
Teleop23.8
End5.7
red by 41.3
9986
Unranked
0.00.0
0.00.0
Auto0.0
Teleop0.0
End0.0
Second
28.72.9
26.529.4
Auto4.5
Teleop18.5
End5.6
red by 28.7
9988
Unranked
0.00.0
0.00.0
Auto0.0
Teleop0.0
End0.0
Third
8532
#18
5.52.9
3.36.2
Auto1.3
Teleop2.6
End1.6
red by 5.5
9990
Unranked
0.00.0
0.00.0
Auto0.0
Teleop0.0
End0.0