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Red66
159523.5
412518.0
29036.8
Blue52
406116.6
292616.9
498011.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5248203040607080906652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.50.3
23.323.6
Auto3.9
Teleop15.0
End4.6
red by 6.6
16.90.1
17.217.3
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End5.2
Second
18.00.3
17.918.2
Auto4.8
Teleop9.7
End3.5
red by 1.4
4061
#11
16.60.1
16.917.0
Auto6.1
Teleop6.4
End4.1
Third
2903
#16
6.80.3
6.77.0
Auto2.9
Teleop2.5
End1.4
blue by 4.2
4980
#13
11.10.1
11.311.5
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End1.5