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Red27
592020.0
406116.6
38768.8
Blue52
408941.3
683130.2
469216.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3886020601001201401602752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.01.0
15.514.5
Auto6.4
Teleop3.5
End10.2
blue by 21.2
41.31.5
38.737.2
Auto11.8
Teleop23.8
End5.7
Second
4061
#11
16.61.0
15.414.4
Auto6.1
Teleop6.4
End4.1
blue by 13.6
30.21.5
24.222.7
Auto11.8
Teleop13.7
End4.8
Third
3876
#15
8.81.0
10.910.0
Auto3.3
Teleop3.4
End2.1
blue by 7.5
4692
#14
16.31.5
11.610.1
Auto5.9
Teleop8.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed48%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsEarned36%Hangar oddsMissed