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Red64
159523.5
683130.2
85325.5
Blue30
646512.5
41046.1
37128.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6116040801001206430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.3
22.723.0
Auto11.8
Teleop13.7
End4.8
red by 17.7
6465
#10
12.50.3
8.48.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End2.5
Second
23.50.3
24.424.6
Auto3.9
Teleop15.0
End4.6
red by 14.9
3712
#19
8.60.6
6.67.2
Auto4.8
Teleop3.0
End0.7
Third
8532
#18
5.50.3
4.85.1
Auto1.3
Teleop2.6
End1.6
blue by 0.6
4104
#17
6.10.3
5.96.2
Auto1.8
Teleop3.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed