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Red64
451323.3
592020.0
683130.2
Blue55
406116.6
292616.9
159523.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64573040507080901006455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.3
23.023.3
Auto11.8
Teleop13.7
End4.8
red by 6.7
23.50.0
24.624.7
Auto3.9
Teleop15.0
End4.6
Second
23.30.3
20.721.0
Auto5.2
Teleop12.0
End6.0
red by 6.4
16.90.0
15.515.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End5.2
Third
20.00.3
15.716.0
Auto6.4
Teleop3.5
End10.2
red by 3.4
4061
#11
16.60.0
14.414.5
Auto6.1
Teleop6.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
44%Cargo oddsMissed47%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
72%Hangar oddsEarned38%Hangar oddsMissed