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Red51
683130.2
41046.1
498011.1
Blue110
366328.7
451323.3
408941.3
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35102020608012014016051110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.6
25.526.1
Auto11.8
Teleop13.7
End4.8
blue by 11.1
41.31.5
38.440.0
Auto11.8
Teleop23.8
End5.7
Second
4980
#13
11.10.6
10.811.5
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End1.5
blue by 17.6
28.71.5
26.928.4
Auto4.5
Teleop18.5
End5.6
Third
4104
#17
6.10.6
5.35.9
Auto1.8
Teleop3.5
End0.7
blue by 17.2
23.31.5
21.623.2
Auto5.2
Teleop12.0
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsEarned93%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed56%Hangar oddsEarned