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Red51
85325.5
366328.7
592020.0
Blue42
498011.1
37128.6
451323.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56442040801005142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.0
28.428.4
Auto4.5
Teleop18.5
End5.6
red by 5.4
23.30.1
23.223.1
Auto5.2
Teleop12.0
End6.0
Second
20.00.0
19.319.3
Auto6.4
Teleop3.5
End10.2
red by 9.0
4980
#13
11.10.1
11.511.4
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End1.5
Third
8532
#18
5.50.0
3.53.5
Auto1.3
Teleop2.6
End1.6
blue by 3.1
3712
#19
8.60.1
8.68.5
Auto4.8
Teleop3.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
36%Cargo oddsMissed45%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsEarned20%Hangar oddsMissed