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Red52
683130.2
214737.2
60768.1
Blue49
451323.3
592020.0
37128.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions895001001502005249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.20.8
38.237.4
Auto9.1
Teleop21.9
End6.2
red by 14.0
23.30.1
23.323.3
Auto5.2
Teleop12.0
End6.0
Second
30.20.8
31.130.4
Auto11.8
Teleop13.7
End4.8
red by 10.2
20.00.1
20.120.0
Auto6.4
Teleop3.5
End10.2
Third
6076
#12
8.10.8
9.08.3
Auto6.4
Teleop2.9
End-1.2
blue by 0.5
3712
#19
8.60.1
8.78.6
Auto4.8
Teleop3.0
End0.7