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Red54
281121.9
159521.0
46927.5
Blue34
59209.3
498011.4
406117.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55402060805434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.90.0
21.721.7
Auto8.0
Teleop11.7
End2.1
red by 4.1
4061
#14
17.80.2
18.218.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End4.3
Second
21.00.0
20.820.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End4.1
red by 9.6
4980
#10
11.40.2
11.811.6
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End2.7
Third
4692
#17
7.50.0
7.37.3
Auto2.0
Teleop4.5
End1.1
blue by 1.8
5920
#11
9.30.2
9.89.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.4
End4.2