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Red33
292610.6
451315.9
382618.2
Blue37
46927.5
406117.8
159521.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4132010205060703337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3826
#18
18.20.5
16.315.9
Auto3.3
Teleop10.4
End4.4
blue by 2.8
21.00.6
12.713.4
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End4.1
Second
15.90.5
12.311.8
Auto4.3
Teleop8.4
End3.2
blue by 1.9
4061
#14
17.80.6
11.612.3
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End4.3
Third
2926
#15
10.60.5
8.68.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End1.6
red by 3.1
4692
#17
7.50.6
6.97.5
Auto2.0
Teleop4.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed