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Red51
406117.8
214727.6
371121.4
Blue64
746122.7
159521.0
40607.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444802060801005164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.61.0
14.615.7
Auto6.8
Teleop16.6
End4.2
red by 4.8
22.71.3
24.325.7
Auto7.8
Teleop12.5
End2.4
Second
21.40.6
14.715.3
Auto5.5
Teleop4.4
End11.5
red by 0.5
21.02.2
13.415.6
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End4.1
Third
4061
#14
17.81.0
12.313.3
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End4.3
red by 9.9
4060
#19
7.92.2
6.68.8
Auto1.5
Teleop2.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsEarned23%Hangar oddsMissed