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Red18
52958.7
451315.9
38769.7
Blue58
40607.9
214727.6
293033.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256904060801001201858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.91.2
14.113.0
Auto4.3
Teleop8.4
End3.2
blue by 17.7
33.60.1
31.231.2
Auto5.8
Teleop16.5
End11.3
Second
3876
#20
9.71.2
7.76.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.8
End4.2
blue by 17.8
27.60.1
20.320.2
Auto6.8
Teleop16.6
End4.2
Third
5295
#12
8.71.2
7.46.2
Auto2.2
Teleop3.3
End3.2
red by 0.8
4060
#19
7.90.1
7.47.3
Auto1.5
Teleop2.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed31%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed54%Hangar oddsMissed