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Red41
498011.4
382618.2
746122.7
Blue24
59209.3
292610.6
41046.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6420040801004124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.9
23.622.7
Auto7.8
Teleop12.5
End2.4
red by 12.1
2926
#15
10.60.5
10.39.8
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End1.6
Second
3826
#18
18.21.4
17.516.1
Auto3.3
Teleop10.4
End4.4
red by 8.9
5920
#11
9.30.5
6.96.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.4
End4.2
Third
4980
#10
11.41.4
13.211.8
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End2.7
red by 5.2
4104
#16
6.20.5
7.36.9
Auto2.0
Teleop2.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
54%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed