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Red61
41259.5
293033.6
41046.2
Blue49
46927.5
498011.4
406117.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5637020801006149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.60.5
33.233.6
Auto5.8
Teleop16.5
End11.3
red by 15.8
4061
#14
17.80.6
17.718.3
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End4.3
Second
4125
#13
9.50.6
9.19.6
Auto1.9
Teleop6.0
End1.6
blue by 1.8
4980
#10
11.40.6
12.713.3
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End2.7
Third
4104
#16
6.20.6
7.98.4
Auto2.0
Teleop2.0
End2.1
blue by 1.4
4692
#17
7.50.6
7.07.6
Auto2.0
Teleop4.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
66%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed