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Red44
451315.9
60762.3
371121.4
Blue40
214727.6
52958.7
41259.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39350102030506070804440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.3
14.915.1
Auto5.5
Teleop4.4
End11.5
blue by 6.2
27.60.8
13.914.6
Auto6.8
Teleop16.6
End4.2
Second
15.90.4
13.313.7
Auto4.3
Teleop8.4
End3.2
red by 6.4
4125
#13
9.50.8
10.511.3
Auto1.9
Teleop6.0
End1.6
Third
6076
#22
2.30.4
8.08.4
Auto1.7
Teleop2.7
End-2.1
blue by 6.4
5295
#12
8.70.8
8.79.5
Auto2.2
Teleop3.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned33%Hangar oddsMissed