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Red83
293033.6
52958.7
281121.9
Blue86
214727.6
159521.0
292610.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666140801001208386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.61.2
33.634.8
Auto5.8
Teleop16.5
End11.3
red by 6.0
27.60.6
27.828.4
Auto6.8
Teleop16.6
End4.2
Second
21.91.2
20.521.7
Auto8.0
Teleop11.7
End2.1
red by 0.9
21.00.6
20.220.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End4.1
Third
5295
#12
8.71.3
7.48.7
Auto2.2
Teleop3.3
End3.2
blue by 2.0
2926
#15
10.60.6
10.010.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsEarned42%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsEarned16%Hangar oddsMissed