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Red48
41259.5
746122.7
451315.9
Blue91
40607.9
38769.7
291055.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49782040601001204891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.1
23.623.5
Auto7.8
Teleop12.5
End2.4
blue by 32.9
55.61.5
55.456.8
Auto16.4
Teleop30.2
End8.9
Second
15.90.1
16.116.0
Auto4.3
Teleop8.4
End3.2
red by 6.2
3876
#20
9.71.6
7.59.1
Auto2.7
Teleop2.8
End4.2
Third
4125
#13
9.50.1
9.69.5
Auto1.9
Teleop6.0
End1.6
red by 1.7
4060
#19
7.91.6
6.48.0
Auto1.5
Teleop2.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
50%Cargo oddsEarned74%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsEarned