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Red35
498011.4
41259.5
371121.4
Blue32
281121.9
382618.2
40607.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403602060801001203532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.1
15.115.0
Auto5.5
Teleop4.4
End11.5
blue by 0.4
21.90.1
12.912.8
Auto8.0
Teleop11.7
End2.1
Second
4980
#10
11.40.2
10.410.2
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End2.7
blue by 6.8
3826
#18
18.20.2
13.813.6
Auto3.3
Teleop10.4
End4.4
Third
4125
#13
9.50.2
11.311.1
Auto1.9
Teleop6.0
End1.6
red by 1.7
4060
#19
7.90.2
7.47.1
Auto1.5
Teleop2.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsEarned20%Hangar oddsMissed