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Red123
293033.6
291055.6
85325.4
Blue72
252224.7
371121.4
38769.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9752015020012372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.60.8
52.653.5
Auto16.4
Teleop30.2
End8.9
red by 30.9
24.70.4
24.324.7
Auto8.3
Teleop9.6
End6.7
Second
33.60.8
30.631.5
Auto5.8
Teleop16.5
End11.3
red by 12.2
21.40.4
21.021.4
Auto5.5
Teleop4.4
End11.5
Third
8532
#21
5.40.8
2.43.2
Auto2.5
Teleop1.6
End1.3
blue by 4.4
3876
#20
9.70.4
9.49.7
Auto2.7
Teleop2.8
End4.2