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Red62
214727.6
746122.7
41046.2
Blue54
281121.9
159521.0
46927.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6451204060801006254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.1
28.328.4
Auto6.8
Teleop16.6
End4.2
red by 5.7
21.90.1
21.721.8
Auto8.0
Teleop11.7
End2.1
Second
22.70.1
23.423.5
Auto7.8
Teleop12.5
End2.4
red by 1.8
21.00.1
20.820.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End4.1
Third
4104
#16
6.20.1
6.97.0
Auto2.0
Teleop2.0
End2.1
blue by 1.4
4692
#17
7.50.1
7.37.4
Auto2.0
Teleop4.5
End1.1