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Red67
214727.6
746122.7
41046.2
Blue59
281121.9
159521.0
46927.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6452203040607080901006759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.2
28.428.5
Auto6.8
Teleop16.6
End4.2
red by 5.7
21.90.1
21.821.9
Auto8.0
Teleop11.7
End2.1
Second
22.70.2
23.523.7
Auto7.8
Teleop12.5
End2.4
red by 1.8
21.00.1
20.821.0
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End4.1
Third
4104
#16
6.20.2
7.07.1
Auto2.0
Teleop2.0
End2.1
blue by 1.4
4692
#17
7.50.1
7.47.5
Auto2.0
Teleop4.5
End1.1