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Red51
12517.6
23815.5
54594.7
Blue48
581313.1
5812.2
5018.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393402060801005148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#4
17.60.5
17.117.7
Auto6.8
Teleop5.3
End5.6
red by 4.5
13.10.5
12.913.3
Auto4.9
Teleop6.4
End1.8
Second
238
#1
15.50.5
15.015.5
Auto6.2
Teleop6.8
End2.4
red by 3.3
58
#3
12.20.5
12.012.4
Auto2.0
Teleop5.6
End4.6
Third
5459
#23
4.70.5
4.24.7
Auto1.0
Teleop1.6
End2.1
blue by 3.6
501
#18
8.30.5
8.08.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.4
End0.1