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Red20
40415.3
115310.9
237012.6
Blue10
889.5
23427.4
1575.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443502060801002010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.62.3
13.411.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End2.8
red by 3.1
88
#13
9.52.7
15.612.9
Auto1.4
Teleop6.5
End1.6
Second
1153
#24
10.92.3
14.512.3
Auto2.6
Teleop6.8
End1.5
red by 3.6
2342
#16
7.42.7
8.25.5
Auto1.4
Teleop3.0
End2.9
Third
4041
#15
5.32.3
12.510.2
Auto1.8
Teleop2.9
End0.7
red by 0.1
157
#20
5.32.7
10.57.8
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed