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Red22
2463.9
1518.2
490910.4
Blue26
581313.1
1575.3
87248.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2524010203040502226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#21
10.40.5
10.710.2
Auto1.7
Teleop6.1
End2.6
blue by 2.7
13.10.4
8.48.8
Auto4.9
Teleop6.4
End1.8
Second
151
#22
8.20.5
8.58.0
Auto1.1
Teleop5.1
End2.1
Level
8.20.4
7.98.3
Auto1.2
Teleop5.4
End1.6
Third
246
#11
3.90.5
4.33.8
Auto0.5
Teleop1.3
End2.1
blue by 1.4
157
#20
5.30.4
6.06.4
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed