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Red30
5812.2
2463.9
50912.9
Blue8
568712.8
40415.3
54594.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28260102040506070308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
509
#2
12.90.4
11.712.1
Auto1.8
Teleop3.1
End8.0
red by 0.1
5687
#10
12.81.9
12.610.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End2.9
Second
58
#3
12.20.4
10.511.0
Auto2.0
Teleop5.6
End4.6
red by 6.9
4041
#15
5.31.9
7.55.7
Auto1.8
Teleop2.9
End0.7
Third
246
#11
3.90.4
3.84.2
Auto0.5
Teleop1.3
End2.1
blue by 0.9
5459
#23
4.71.9
4.52.7
Auto1.0
Teleop1.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsEarned21%Hangar oddsMissed