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Red4
54594.7
5018.3
10736.8
Blue38
12517.6
568712.8
346710.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26380206080100120438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
501
#18
8.32.4
10.58.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.4
End0.1
blue by 9.3
125
#4
17.60.5
11.511.9
Auto6.8
Teleop5.3
End5.6
Second
1073
#14
6.82.4
8.46.0
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End1.6
blue by 6.1
5687
#10
12.80.5
14.314.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End2.9
Third
5459
#23
4.72.4
7.14.7
Auto1.0
Teleop1.6
End2.1
blue by 5.3
10.00.5
8.18.5
Auto1.2
Teleop3.4
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsEarned