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Red54
53398.6
591420.3
55867.7
Blue28
37238.3
710319.9
401112.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375301001502005428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5914
#11Sur
20.30.9
18.419.3
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End7.9
red by 0.4
7103
#30
19.91.3
26.024.6
Auto5.7
Teleop11.6
End2.6
Second
5339
#35
8.61.4
10.111.5
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.1
End6.4
blue by 3.6
4011
#41
12.22.2
10.98.7
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End3.5
Third
5586
#44
7.71.4
8.510.0
Auto2.1
Teleop2.7
End2.9
blue by 0.6
3723
#34Sur
8.32.2
11.08.8
Auto1.9
Teleop3.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsMissed33%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsEarned25%Hangar oddsMissed