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Red19
17112.7
454914.4
30906.5
Blue38
402114.5
853123.7
405410.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32530204060801001201938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4549
#22
14.42.0
11.99.9
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End4.8
blue by 9.3
23.70.6
22.021.4
Auto7.9
Teleop12.3
End3.5
Second
171
#36
12.72.0
11.59.5
Auto5.6
Teleop4.6
End2.6
blue by 1.8
4021
#17
14.50.6
13.112.5
Auto5.1
Teleop5.1
End4.4
Third
3090
#39
6.52.0
9.67.6
Auto2.9
Teleop2.9
End0.8
blue by 4.2
4054
#40
10.81.0
11.910.9
Auto4.7
Teleop2.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed45%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsMissed43%Hangar oddsMissed