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Red61
216925.3
282613.5
54429.8
Blue71
270412.9
616611.3
642134.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3863020801001201401606171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2169
#19
25.32.5
17.620.0
Auto7.3
Teleop7.0
End11.0
blue by 9.0
34.40.7
32.433.1
Auto9.4
Teleop14.5
End10.5
Second
2826
#33
13.52.5
14.216.7
Auto4.0
Teleop5.1
End4.4
red by 0.6
2704
#23
12.90.7
15.115.8
Auto3.8
Teleop3.8
End5.3
Third
5442
#26
9.81.5
7.18.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End2.4
blue by 1.5
6166
#31
11.31.2
8.810.0
Auto5.6
Teleop1.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsEarned56%Hangar oddsMissed