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Red60
405410.8
657432.4
878213.9
Blue63
338110.7
761925.0
870010.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions553402040801006063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.40.7
26.627.4
Auto7.6
Teleop15.2
End9.6
red by 7.4
25.01.6
21.923.5
Auto7.1
Teleop12.4
End5.4
Second
8782
#43
13.91.2
11.512.7
Auto5.0
Teleop4.9
End3.9
red by 3.2
3381
#25
10.71.6
6.37.9
Auto2.9
Teleop2.6
End5.2
Third
4054
#40
10.81.2
11.112.3
Auto4.7
Teleop2.8
End3.3
red by 0.7
8700
#38
10.11.6
6.78.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsEarned18%Hangar oddsEarned