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Red69
874419.9
203920.3
657432.4
Blue50
400925.3
204018.8
30906.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45530204060801006950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.41.4
21.623.0
Auto7.6
Teleop15.2
End9.6
red by 7.1
25.30.1
22.822.9
Auto6.9
Teleop11.9
End6.5
Second
20.31.6
13.815.4
Auto7.9
Teleop10.6
End1.7
red by 1.5
2040
#29
18.80.1
16.816.9
Auto7.3
Teleop4.9
End6.6
Third
8744
#13
19.99.3
19.910.5
Auto5.6
Teleop4.5
End9.8
red by 13.3
3090
#39
6.50.1
9.39.4
Auto2.9
Teleop2.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsMissed33%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsEarned61%Hangar oddsEarned