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Red85
338110.7
219420.6
93032.2
Blue67
401112.2
454914.4
216925.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6651204060801001208567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#4
32.21.4
30.331.7
Auto11.1
Teleop12.4
End8.7
red by 6.9
2169
#19
25.31.0
24.425.5
Auto7.3
Teleop7.0
End11.0
Second
2194
#12
20.61.4
19.520.9
Auto7.9
Teleop7.2
End5.5
red by 6.2
4549
#22
14.41.0
14.215.2
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End4.8
Third
3381
#25
10.71.4
10.011.4
Auto2.9
Teleop2.6
End5.2
blue by 1.5
4011
#41
12.21.0
11.012.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsEarned26%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsEarned39%Hangar oddsEarned