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Red38
514820.9
55867.7
616611.3
Blue63
454914.4
270412.9
657432.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376702060801001203863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5148
#27
20.90.0
21.121.1
Auto5.1
Teleop10.9
End5.0
blue by 11.5
32.40.2
29.930.1
Auto7.6
Teleop15.2
End9.6
Second
6166
#31
11.30.1
9.89.7
Auto5.6
Teleop1.7
End4.0
blue by 3.1
4549
#22
14.40.4
15.215.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End4.8
Third
5586
#44
7.70.1
7.77.6
Auto2.1
Teleop2.7
End2.9
blue by 5.2
2704
#23
12.90.2
14.214.5
Auto3.8
Teleop3.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed58%Hangar oddsEarned