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Red66
245140.2
402114.5
401112.2
Blue72
702136.8
282613.5
657432.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions639640801201406672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.20.2
40.140.2
Auto16.0
Teleop18.4
End5.8
red by 3.5
36.81.0
36.936.0
Auto11.2
Teleop19.9
End5.7
Second
4021
#17
14.50.2
12.412.6
Auto5.1
Teleop5.1
End4.4
blue by 17.9
32.41.0
30.129.2
Auto7.6
Teleop15.2
End9.6
Third
4011
#41
12.20.2
11.011.3
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End3.5
blue by 1.4
2826
#33
13.51.4
19.217.8
Auto4.0
Teleop5.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
44%Cargo oddsEarned68%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsMissed94%Hangar oddsMissed