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Red32
219420.6
17169.1
282613.5
Blue35
590318.5
870010.1
55867.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions563920801003235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#12
20.61.2
21.820.6
Auto7.9
Teleop7.2
End5.5
red by 2.1
5903
#14
18.50.7
20.219.5
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End6.4
Second
2826
#33
13.51.6
17.816.2
Auto4.0
Teleop5.1
End4.4
red by 3.4
8700
#38
10.10.5
11.611.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End3.7
Third
1716
#42
9.11.2
10.79.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.7
End0.6
red by 1.4
5586
#44
7.70.7
7.16.4
Auto2.1
Teleop2.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsMissed