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Red55
204018.8
642134.4
710319.9
Blue124
297719.4
702136.8
93032.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8392406010012014016055124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.41.6
36.334.7
Auto9.4
Teleop14.5
End10.5
blue by 2.4
36.82.0
36.038.0
Auto11.2
Teleop19.9
End5.7
Second
7103
#30
19.91.6
22.721.1
Auto5.7
Teleop11.6
End2.6
blue by 12.3
930
#4
32.22.0
32.334.4
Auto11.1
Teleop12.4
End8.7
Third
2040
#29
18.81.6
20.418.8
Auto7.3
Teleop4.9
End6.6
blue by 0.6
2977
#16
19.42.0
17.119.1
Auto5.3
Teleop4.4
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
77%Cargo oddsMissed80%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsEarned82%Hangar oddsEarned