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Red53
702136.8
270412.9
36929.5
Blue36
465521.6
53398.6
17112.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7050204060801001205336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.81.2
38.036.8
Auto11.2
Teleop19.9
End5.7
red by 15.2
4655
#21
21.61.4
24.423.0
Auto5.8
Teleop9.6
End6.2
Second
2704
#23
12.91.2
14.112.9
Auto3.8
Teleop3.8
End5.3
red by 0.2
171
#36
12.71.7
14.512.7
Auto5.6
Teleop4.6
End2.6
Third
3692
#37
9.51.5
11.09.5
Auto4.6
Teleop1.3
End3.6
red by 0.9
5339
#35
8.61.9
10.58.6
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.1
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
51%Cargo oddsMissed27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsMissed72%Hangar oddsMissed