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Red76
642134.4
702136.8
590318.5
Blue67
130620.7
400925.3
297719.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100652040801201401607667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.80.4
36.636.2
Auto11.2
Teleop19.9
End5.7
red by 11.4
25.30.1
25.425.3
Auto6.9
Teleop11.9
End6.5
Second
34.40.4
34.233.8
Auto9.4
Teleop14.5
End10.5
red by 13.7
1306
#10
20.70.1
20.720.7
Auto7.0
Teleop8.5
End5.2
Third
5903
#14
18.50.4
18.317.9
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End6.4
blue by 0.9
2977
#16
19.40.1
19.519.4
Auto5.3
Teleop4.4
End9.7