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Red45
62239.5
509610.2
250620.2
Blue70
880310.2
220227.9
179214.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29450204060804570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2506
#18
20.21.0
11.712.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End10.1
blue by 7.8
27.93.3
16.920.2
Auto6.2
Teleop14.2
End7.5
Second
5096
#27
10.21.3
8.59.8
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End4.1
blue by 4.5
1792
#29
14.72.6
14.617.2
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End3.7
Third
6223
#37
9.51.3
8.810.1
Auto4.9
Teleop0.6
End4.1
blue by 0.7
8803
#33
10.23.3
8.812.1
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsEarned25%Hangar oddsMissed