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Red47
509610.2
220227.9
17398.2
Blue68
167519.9
250620.2
682323.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3856020801004768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.6
20.220.8
Auto6.2
Teleop14.2
End7.5
red by 4.7
23.31.3
16.517.8
Auto6.5
Teleop12.2
End4.5
Second
5096
#27
10.20.6
9.810.4
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End4.1
blue by 10.0
2506
#18
20.21.3
12.614.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End10.1
Third
1739
#36
8.20.6
7.88.4
Auto3.9
Teleop0.6
End3.7
blue by 11.7
1675
#19
19.91.3
21.122.5
Auto7.4
Teleop7.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsEarned45%Hangar oddsEarned