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Red39
250620.2
9324.3
207711.1
Blue64
657421.6
283028.0
130613.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433501001503964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#16
24.30.4
16.516.2
Auto6.8
Teleop12.7
End4.8
blue by 3.8
2830
#10
28.03.3
11.214.6
Auto8.3
Teleop16.4
End3.4
Second
2506
#18
20.20.4
12.011.7
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End10.1
blue by 1.4
6574
#12
21.62.7
11.714.4
Auto4.0
Teleop10.7
End6.8
Third
2077
#28
11.10.4
10.510.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End1.3
blue by 2.8
1306
#31
13.93.3
11.014.3
Auto5.5
Teleop4.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsEarned19%Hangar oddsEarned