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Red58
341820.8
642125.9
179214.7
Blue41
47876.2
206213.8
207711.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50340204060801005841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.6
17.017.6
Auto7.6
Teleop9.4
End8.9
red by 12.1
2062
#22
13.80.3
10.911.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.3
End3.4
Second
3418
#13
20.81.0
10.811.8
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End10.6
red by 9.7
2077
#28
11.10.3
10.911.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End1.3
Third
1792
#29
14.70.7
17.218.0
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End3.7
red by 8.5
4787
#39
6.20.3
12.212.5
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed