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Red113
53717.8
682323.3
173243.1
Blue64
478626.5
207711.1
741719.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69502040608010011364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.13.7
35.739.5
Auto12.6
Teleop23.2
End7.3
red by 16.6
4786
#11
26.51.0
20.021.0
Auto6.5
Teleop7.5
End12.5
Second
23.33.4
17.821.2
Auto6.5
Teleop12.2
End4.5
red by 3.5
19.71.0
18.319.2
Auto6.5
Teleop4.8
End8.4
Third
537
#15
17.83.4
9.112.4
Auto3.9
Teleop11.3
End2.6
red by 6.6
2077
#28
11.11.6
11.312.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
58%Cargo oddsEarned29%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned84%Hangar oddsEarned